Global appliance demand is expected to level off in 2040 and decline in 2050 and beyond, reflecting the health of a key component of appliance sales, consumers. The population of non-refugee consumers will begin a long ever-steepening drop, culminating in a collapse towards the end of the century.
Major manufacturers have begun the difficult process of “skunking” out a future to stave off the prediction, brain storming such ideas as portables, and manual operated appliances.
What these War Room plans have failed to solve, tipsters tell us, is in protecting supply lines. How to guarantee components and materials in-bound for assembly, and out-bound for distribution of finished goods. We expect that the further development of 3D printing may be the path forward. Appliance brands reduced to design, engineering and testing, while manufacturing and assembly are performed in-home. Really a fantastic idea to bypass the collapse of order and transportation infrastructure.
The manufacturer association’s Currency of Trade Special Working Group, has not had their first meeting, but we would not be surprised if some form of barter were suggested for 2100 and beyond.
Will this be enough to keep the industry healthy long after the primary demographic has disappeared? We’ll stay on top of the issue.